Diagnosed with OSA last Feb. Study rate was 15 AHI (but almost all during REM sleep). Titration set pressure at 5. Started CPAP (ResMed S9 Autoset) w/ a Swift/FX mask. I've used it all night, every night since (except for a couple fully-congested sick days). Leak data is very good.
First month was terrible. Awful sleep quality, possibly worse than pre-CPAP. Data said my average was down but still lots of apnea spikes, again, in REM. But trendlines were in the right direction.
Second month was also bad but third I started to feel better. Data bore this out, with an average down to 5/hr. I didn't feel great, but had less daytime drowsyness and a few actual OK days.
Ever since it's been bad again. Saw my specialist a few weeks ago and showed him the data. My averages are up (overall to an 8 AHI, but some days as bad as 16), although the trendlines haven't turned up yet. We decided to increase the pressure to 6. Since then it's been at least as bad if not worse. A typical night for me looks like this (http://i.imgur.com/qg9eL.png):

To me it looks like my apnea rate increases from 0, levels off for a while, and then eventually gets bad enough to fully wake me up, at which time it goes back to zero and starts the cycle over again. 5-7 of these peaks each night is typical.
I'm not sure what to try next. My sleep is awful. I feel completely unrested after 8 hours of it. I usually only notice/recall 1-2 awakenings each night, often right at the 5 hour mark.
I know how to make changes on the machine so am happy to experiment w/ pressure. But I feel a bit blind. Should I try a significant increase? Switch to auto? My specialist is nice but seems a bit perplexed that I'm not feeling better already.
Thanks for any advice!