Firstly thanks to all for their advice and input.
Its been a couple months now on CPAP (again) and I would say this my AHI has fluctuated between high 2 and as high as mid 6. But I can say it feels largely random. So very hard to isolate all the variables in my sleep (though the 6 was after a night of drinks)
Even tried the Dakota neck torture device and it didn't seem to work and for whatever reason made my aerophagia go through the roof.
But my latest concern is that my machine settings are not right. for example, last night:

- screenshot-20181017-093148.png (121.19 KiB) Viewed 571 times
And closer look it seems the pressure doesnt adjust at all:

- screenshot-20181017-094355.png (109.09 KiB) Viewed 571 times
Appreciate any thoughts on settings or otherwise. My flex setting is on "2" - I did try putting it at 3 one night and the aerophagia was worse......